Chemical

Market Advisory Service - Europe & Middle East Light Olefins

  • Market Overview
  • Strategic Analysis
  • Key Features

Market Overview

Duration: Short-term – 2-year price forecast and market outlook

Intense pressure on global petrochemical markets has triggered a wave of capacity closures across Europe, with additional shutdowns already announced. A combination of persistently weak global demand, aging regional assets, high legislative and environmental compliance costs, and ongoing regulatory uncertainty has driven the European industry into an unprecedented phase of contraction. Excess global supply has further intensified the challenge, with imports from the U.S. and Asia flooding the market, collapsing regional prices, and displacing domestic production.

In the Middle East, the longest and deepest downturn on record is placing mounting stress on producers, many of whom remain highly leveraged due to the relatively young age of their assets. Rising feedstock costs have intensified pressure on Saudi Arabian producers; despite their structural cost advantage, exposure to heavier feedstocks has left some operations struggling to maintain positive cash margins, let alone contribute to financing obligations.

With little prospect of a meaningful industry recovery before the end of the decade, producers across regions are being forced to adapt rapidly reassessing cost structures, optimizing asset portfolios, and redefining long-term strategies to ensure survival in an increasingly competitive global market.

Comprehensive monthly market price, supply, demand, and trade data and analysis for:

  • Ethylene
  • Propylene

Strategic Analysis

Duration: Short-term – 2-year price forecast and market outlook

The Europe & Middle East Light Olefins report provides clients with a comprehensive yet focused view of the European & Middle Eastern light olefins and derivatives markets. It details the relationships between upstream feedstock price developments and downstream markets and provides an analytical view of the complex ethylene and propylene markets.

A strong focus of the service is understanding why the market is functioning as it is and predicting the outlook for ethylene and propylene. The complex nature of these markets, with the numerous factors impacting cost and demand, means that changes in any of the downstream markets, the global shipping markets, crude oil production dynamics, gasoline demand, geopolitical changes and many other factors need to be considered when seeking to understand the current market. These factors must be considered in determining the most likely trend the market will follow.

The report is set up to give the reader the necessary data and analysis to understand the market comprehensively. It entitles users to access globally recognized experts in the light olefins markets.

 

Key Features

Duration: Short-term – 2-year price forecast and market outlook


PRICES COVERED

Contract and spot price summary with a detailed review of current market conditions and future trends including price forecasts.

Chemicals covered : Ethylene & Propylene

MONTHLY MARKET REPORT

The monthly report features detailed graphical analyses with expert commentary on monthly and annual price forecasts, feedstock and production cost projections, as well as supply–demand balances and global trade outlooks. It also provides up-to-date pricing data, status updates on new olefins projects, operating schedules for steam crackers and on-purpose propylene units, quarterly supply/demand balances, and net equivalent trade flows. All key metrics are presented in a clear, convenient table format to enable rapid reference and informed decision-making.

MID-MONTH UPDATES

This report delivers a concise snapshot of the West Europe ethylene and propylene markets, along with an update on European feedstock costs and steam cracker economics. It also examines the key market drivers influencing upcoming contract price negotiations, providing essential context for stakeholders across the regional olefins value chain.

DATA SUPPLEMENT

Presented in a clear, concise table format, this report provides essential insights into supply–demand fundamentals, trade costs, cost and margin trends, and operating schedules for regional steam crackers. It also includes updated listings of new projects in the Middle East, along with forward-looking price forecasts to support strategic planning and market evaluation.

MARKET FOCUS REPORT

This report provides deeper research and analysis on critical and emerging challenges facing the light olefins industry. Previous areas of focus have included trade disputes, weather-related disruptions, and other key issues shaping supply–demand dynamics, competitiveness, and long-term industry sustainability.

ACCESS TO SUBJECT MATTER EXPERTS

Clients receive direct, one-on-one access to industry experts through phone consultations, email support, or scheduled meetings to discuss the key insights featured in the monthly market report. This personalized advisory service enables subscribers to deepen their understanding of market fundamentals, price drivers, and supply–demand dynamics, while clarifying complex data points and analysis. It also provides tailored perspectives on region-specific market trends, empowering clients to make more informed, strategic decisions across the global petrochemical value chain.

SUPPLY & DEMAND

Short-term production updates and statistics, including plant-by-plant operating schedules and long-term structural supply changes across the global chemicals and petrochemicals industry. The report also provides detailed end-use analysis across a broad range of downstream sectors, complemented by macro industry trend analysis to highlight evolving demand patterns, investment cycles, and competitive dynamics along the value chain.

Region covered : West Europe

Chemicals covered : Ethylene & Propylene

TRADE

Provides regional trade statistics, global olefins and derivatives trade analysis, freight rate estimates, and tracking of tariffs and sanctions affecting cross-border flows. The report also includes evaluation of arbitrage opportunities across key olefins markets, supporting informed decisions on logistics, sourcing, and global market positioning.

OPERATING SCHEDULE

Region and Coverage: West Europe Steam Crackers

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