Chemical

Market Advisory Service - Asia Light Olefins

  • Market Overview
  • Strategic Analysis
  • Key Features

Market Overview

Duration: Short-term – 2-year price forecast and market outlook

The Asian olefins market has been in a build cycle since 2020. A wave of new crackers and PDH facilities poised to start up will significantly increase Asian capacity. Additionally, US feedstock cost advantages support continued ethylene and derivative exports to Asia, enhancing competition. High feedstock costs triggered voluntary production cuts over the past two years. Despite consumption recovery in mainland China, demand growth struggles to catch up with new capacity, leaving the Asian market with overcapacity that is expected to persist for several years. In the meanwhile, Asia continues to grow dependence on on-purpose technologies for olefin production although self-sufficiency has been improved significantly. Producers have been struggling with poor or even negative margins. But this doesn’t slow down Olefins’ capacity expansion in Asia, particularly in mainland China.

Comprehensive monthly market price, supply, demand, and trade data and analysis for:

  • Ethylene
  • Propylene

Strategic Analysis

Duration: Short-term – 2-year price forecast and market outlook

The Asia Light Olefins service provides clients with a comprehensive yet focused view of the Asia light olefins markets for ethylene and propylene. The report includes cash cost, pricing, margin data for all covered products, and commentary of feedstocks, derivatives, and regional light olefins markets. Global production cost comparison, supply/demand balances, trade flows, derivatives affordability, and forecasts are also provided. Furthermore, the service provides in-depth profitability analysis of derivatives integrated for steam crackers and on-purpose productions in Asia.

Key Features

Duration: Short-term – 2-year price forecast and market outlook


PRICES COVERED

Contract and spot price summary with a brief review of current market conditions.

  • Ethylene
  • Propylene

GLOBAL WEEKLY MARKET SNAPSHOT

The weekly Asia Light Olefins report offers an overview of market prices, production cash costs, margins, supply concerns, operating schedules, key derivative demand, and international markets. On the other hand, the weekly China Light Olefins report provides a more detailed perspective on the mainland China market, incorporating spot discussions, supply-demand fundamentals, and a comprehensive analysis of the production economics of light Olefins plants.

Publication Timing: Friday (Singapore Time)

GLOBAL MONTHLY MARKET REPORT

The monthly report comprises graphical analyses accompanied by commentary on our monthly and annual price forecasts, feedstock, and production cost projections, as well as supply/demand balances and trade projections. Additionally, this report offers information on prices, status reports for new olefins projects, operating schedules for steam crackers and on-purpose propylene units, quarterly supply/demand balances, and net equivalent trade, all presented in a convenient table format for quick reference.

Publication Timing: The business day before the 10th of each month (Singapore Time)

ACCESS TO SUBJECT MATTER EXPERTS

Personal telephone and/or email discussions, and meetings on the subject matter covered in the monthly report.

SUPPLY & DEMAND

Short-term production news updates, production statistics, plant-by-plant operating schedules, and long-term structural supply changes. End-use analysis across the diverse range of end-use sectors plus macro industry trend analysis.

Region
  • North & Southeast Asia
Chemical Coverage
  • Ethylene
  • Propylene

TRADE

Trade statistics, global trade analysis, freight estimates.

OPERATING SCHEDULE

Region
  • China
  • North and Southeast Asia
Chemical Coverage
  • Ethylene
  • Propylene

REGULAR WEBINARS

There are global webinars providing access to our subject matter experts (SMEs) on bi-annual basis. These one-hour sessions include a presentation with Q&A, where our SMEs discuss significant trends in their respective regions. Additionally, updates on pricing forecasts and supply and demand balances are covered.

Publication Timing: Bi-annually

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