Chemical

Market Advisory Service - Asia C4 Olefins & Elastomers

  • Market Overview
  • Strategic Analysis
  • Key Features

Market Overview

Duration: Short-term – 2-year price forecast and market outlook

Asia has invested an enormous amount of new butadiene capacities during the last few years and will continue to add more capacities in the region. Mainland China’s butadiene balance is changing from net imports to net exports and is having an impact on other Asian countries as well as other regions that have been exporting to mainland China. Mainland China has been the demand driver of butadiene, but demand growth is slowing down compared to what the market has experienced for the last several years. Asia C4 Olefins & Elastomers Weekly report provides weekly market information, prices, and production economics focused on Asia.

Weekly prices and market updates for the Asia region:

  • Butadiene
  • Crude C4s
  • Natural Rubber
  • Polybutadiene Rubber
  • Raffinate, C4
  • Styrene Butadiene Rubber

Strategic Analysis

Duration: Short-term – 2-year price forecast and market outlook

The C4 Olefins & Elastomers Asia C4 Weekly service is an add-on to the Global C4 Olefins service that provides weekly prices and market updates for the Asia region focused on butadiene, SBR, PBR, butylenes, and natural rubber. The report also provides Butadiene Asia Contract Price, which can be used in term contract pricing.

The Chemical Market Analytics (CMA) Profit Sharing Asia Contract Butadiene Price (CMA ACP) is an unbiased third-party butadiene contract price reference that preserves the economic interest of both producers/sellers and consumers/buyers by ensuring an equitable distribution of butadiene and derivative margins between producers and consumers since the price takes in consideration the average cash cost of the butadiene producer and the average butadiene affordability for the butadiene consumer (referred to as the chain margins). The CMA ACP methodology minimizes possible pricing risks that are inherent in the current contract pricing mechanisms by providing an equitable system of chain margin distribution between butadiene producers and consumers. The CMA ACP is derived from CMA’s production cost models for a butadiene extraction unit (to determine the average butadiene production cash cost) and CMA’s production cost models for butadiene derivatives (to determine the weighted average of derivative butadiene affordability). The CMA ACP is the price at which the total profitability for butadiene and derivative producers is split according to the proportion of their average capital investment for their respective production units.

Key Features

Duration: Short-term – 2-year price forecast and market outlook


PRICES COVERED

Contract and spot price summary with a brief review of current market conditions

  • Crude C4s
  • Synthetic Rubber
  • Butadiene
  • Natural Rubber
  • Butylenes
  • Butenes

GLOBAL WEEKLY MARKET SNAPSHOT

This report includes current and forecast market pricing, updates on market events and insightful market intelligence.
Publication Timing: Weekly

GLOBAL MONTHLY MARKET REPORT

The Global monthly C4 Olefins & Elastomers service provides a comprehensive view of world markets for crude C4s, butadiene, butylenes, other rubber feedstocks, synthetic rubber, natural rubber and tires. It includes current and forecast market pricing, updates on market events and insightful market intelligence.

Publication Timing: Beginning of the month (Closest business day to the 5th)

DATA SUPPLEMENT

Included in the monthly summary, the data appendix contains historical prices, price forecasts, production economics, supply/demand balances, operating schedules, trade statistics, and other essential analyses.

Publication Timing: Associated with the Global Service

MARKET FOCUS REPORT

This monthly report explores further research on crucial and timely issues within the C4 olefins and elastomers industry. Previous topics of analysis encompass characteristics of the butadiene merchant market, macroeconomics of the rubber industry, the impact of China on global markets, MTBE, global trade patterns of C4 and related commodities, inter-competition between synthetic and natural rubber, and the long-term outlook for butadiene markets with geographic shifts in tire production.

Publication Timing: Associated with the Global Service

ACCESS TO SUBJECT MATTER EXPERTS

Personal telephone and/or email discussions, and meetings on the subject matter covered in the monthly report.

SUPPLY & DEMAND

Short-term production news updates, production statistics, plant-by-plant operating schedules, and long-term structural supply changes. End-use analysis across the diverse range of end-use sectors plus macro industry trend analysis.

Region
  • United States & West Europe
Chemical Coverage
  • Butadiene
Region
  • United States
Chemical Coverage
  • Methyl Tert-Butyl Ether (MTBE)

TRADE

Trade statistics, global trade analysis, freight estimates, tariffs, and sanction tracking

OPERATING SCHEDULE

Region
  • United States, West Europe, Asia Pacific and China
Chemical Coverage
  • Butadiene
Region
  • West Europe, North & Southeast Asia and China
Chemical Coverage
  • Crude C4
Region
  • United States
Chemical Coverage
  • Methyl Tert-Butyl Ether (MTBE)

REGULAR WEBINARS

Every quarter, there are global webinars providing access to our subject matter experts (SMEs). These one-hour sessions include a presentation with Q&A, where our SMEs discuss significant trends in their respective regions. Additionally, updates on pricing forecasts and supply & demand balances are covered.

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