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World Analysis – Rubber

  • Market Overview
  • Key Benefits
  • Service Features
  • Sample Table of Contents

Market Overview

Long-term outlook to 2060

Synthetic elastomers fall broadly into two categories: commodity elastomers and specialty elastomers. Commodity elastomers include styrene-butadiene rubber (SBR), polybutadiene rubber (PBR), nitrile rubber (NBR), ethylene-propylene rubber (EPDM), butyl rubber (IIR/HIIR), polyisoprene, and polychloroprene (Neoprene). Specialty elastomers encompass a diverse range of materials, including acrylics, silicones, polyethers (propylene oxide and epichlorohydrin), fluorinated and chlorosulfonated elastomers, polyethylene elastomers, polyurethanes, polysulfide elastomers, and chlorinated polyethylene elastomers. Thermoplastic elastomers (TPEs) form another major category, comprising styrene-block copolymers, thermoplastic polyurethanes, thermoplastic polyolefins, polyamide TPEs, and copolyester-ether elastomers (COPE).

This World Analysis focuses on the largest commodity elastomers: SBR (solution SBR [S-SBR] and emulsion SBR [E-SBR]), PBR, NBR, and butyl rubber (IIR/HIIR), as well as providing insights into the natural rubber market trends.

Styrene-Butadiene Rubber (SBR)

SBR is the most widely used synthetic elastomer, with demand heavily concentrated in durable goods, particularly automotive applications. Tires and related products account for approximately 70% of global SBR consumption, while non-tire markets comprise the remaining 25–30%, including automotive components, mechanical parts, adhesives, and various industrial goods.

E-SBR is the most commoditized form of SBR. In contrast, S-SBR plays a critical role in advanced “green tire” technology. When compounded into tire treads, S-SBR enables the use of silica instead of carbon black, reducing rolling resistance and improving fuel efficiency without sacrificing performance.

Polybutadiene Rubber (PBR)

PBR is the second-largest synthetic elastomer by volume. Most PBR is used in tire applications due to its excellent abrasion resistance, making it ideal for tire treads. Additional uses include carcass and sidewall components, plastics modification, and various mechanical and industrial parts. PBR’s flexibility and resilience also help reduce heat buildup in tires.

Nitrile Rubber (NBR) and Hydrogenated NBR (HNBR)

NBR is produced through the emulsion polymerization of 1,3-butadiene and acrylonitrile. It offers outstanding resistance to oils, fuels, and chemicals, making it essential in seals, gaskets, hoses, belts, adhesives, and molded rubber components.

Blending NBR with thermoplastics, such as PVC, ABS, polypropylene, and nylon, enhances toughness, flexibility, and appearance. Hydrogenated nitrile rubber (HNBR) is utilized for high-performance, high-temperature applications, particularly in oilfield operations, automotive systems (such as O-rings, belts, hoses, and cable jackets), and heavy industrial equipment.

Butyl Rubber (IIR) and Halogenated Butyl Rubber (HIIR)

Butyl rubber is valued for its exceptionally low air permeability, making it ideal for inner tubes, pneumatic components, pharmaceutical stoppers, and air-retention applications.

Halogenated butyl rubber (HIIR) is widely used in tubeless tire inner liners, and, when blended with natural rubber or EPDM, improves ozone resistance and crack resistance in sidewalls. Its high-damping properties also enhance shock-absorbing applications such as automotive suspension bumpers, exhaust hangers, and body mounts. Beyond automotive uses, butyl rubber is important in construction, particularly in roofing membranes and sealing systems.

Key Benefits

Long-term outlook to 2060

The World Analysis—Rubber provides an in-depth assessment of the global rubber market, providing comprehensive analysis and strategic insights into the key developments shaping long-term supply, demand, trade, and pricing outlooks. This service equips industry participants with the analytical foundation needed to navigate market volatility and anticipate structural shifts across the rubber value chain.

Subscribers gain access to a full suite of reports, data files, analytical tools, and visualization modules, available online and downloadable from our website, including:

  • A strategic report outlining critical insights and the future trajectory of global and regional markets

  • Online Data Browser access to supply, demand, and capacity databases

  • Continuously updated company/shareholder capacity listings, capacity integration analysis, and rankings of top producers/consumers, including surplus/deficit capacity profiles

  • A comprehensive Data Appendix (Excel) featuring supply/demand and capacity tables, plus a dashboard with standard visualizations for all countries and regions

  • Excel data files with long-range supply/demand graphics and price forecasts through 2060, along with detailed trade grids showing country- and region-level trade flows with 5- and 10-year projections

  • An interactive online dashboard visualizing capacity, integration, supply/demand balances, trade flows, and price, cost, and margin forecasts

  • Explanatory Notes detailing data sources, methodology, assumptions, units, conversion factors, and full World Analysis deliverables

  • Energy and macroeconomic assumptions used in the long-term outlook

  • Price assessment methodology and forecasting framework

Information and insight are provided for the following products: Butyl Rubber, Natural Rubber, Nitrile Rubber, Polybutadiene Rubber, Emulsion SB Rubber, and Solution SB Rubber.

This World Analysis provides detailed intelligence on capacities, production, demand, and trade across all major producing and consuming countries, regions, and global hubs. While robust data collection underpins the historical and forward views, the true value of the service lies in the expert interpretation and market analysis applied by our global team.

Data verification is a central pillar of our approach. Direct engagement with key industry participants ensures that our conclusions reflect real-world market behavior and deliver the most accurate, realistic forward outlook for the global industry.

 

 

Service Features

Long-term outlook to 2060


SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCES


Frequency: Bi-annual
Format: Online database
Timeframe: 2000 – 2060
Geographical Coverage: Global by country/region
Chemical Products: Butyl Rubber, Nitrile Rubber, Polybutadiene Rubber, SB Rubber (emulsion & solution), Natural Rubber

CAPACITY


Frequency: Updated daily
Format: Online database
Timeframe: 1990 – 2060
Coverage: Nameplate capacity of production units by operating company and shareholder
Chemical Products: Butyl Rubber, Nitrile Rubber, Polybutadiene Rubber, SB Rubber (emulsion & solution)

PRICE, COST & MARGIN FORECASTS


Frequency: Quarterly
Format: Online database and Excel
Timeframe: 10-year history and forecasts to 2060
Geographical Coverage: North America (US), Europe & Asia
Chemical Coverage: Polybutadiene Rubber, SB Rubber (emulsion & solution)

TRADE GRIDS


Frequency: Bi-annual
Format: Excel and PIB dashboard
Timeframe: 1 year of history, with 5-year or 10-year forecasts
Geographical Coverage: Global trade flows between partner countries and regions
Chemical Products: Butyl Rubber, Nitrile Rubber, Polybutadiene Rubber, SB Rubber (emulsion & solution), Natural Rubber

REPORT WITH STRATEGIC INSIGHTS AND EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW


Frequency: Annual
Format: PDF/HTML
Timeframe: 5-year history, forecast to 2060
Coverage: Regional market summaries
     - Production economics/snapshots for major regions/processes
     - Production process/technology overview
Chemical Products: Polybutadiene Rubber, SB Rubber (emulsion & solution)

ADDITIONAL FEATURES


- Access to our global team of subject matter experts
- Interactive data visualization (PBI dashboard)
- Regional supply/demand graphs (Excel)
- Data appendix with supply/demand, capacity tables and interactive dashboard
- Economy and Energy assumptions

Sample Table of Contents

  • Introduction 4
  • Executive Overview 5
  • Butyl Rubber 5
  • Nitrile Rubber 8
  • Polybutadiene Rubber 11
  • Styrene-Butadiene Rubber 14
  • Natural Rubber 20
  • Strategic Insights 23
  • Economy Forecast Update 23
  • Cost Competitiveness 23
  • Developments in the automotive and tire industry 26
  • New US Laws that may impact petrochemical industry 28
  • The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the C4 olefins value chain 28
  • Production Process Overview 32
  • Introduction 32
  • Emulsion Polymerization of SBR 32
  • Solution Polymerization of SBR and PBR 33
  • Production Economics 34
  • Explanatory Notes 34
  • Polybutadiene Rubber 35
  • Styrene-Butadiene Rubber 38
  • Price Forecast 41
  • Methodology 41
  • Synthetic Rubber Raw Materials 42
  • - Butadiene 42
  • - Styrene 43
  • Polybutadiene rubber 44
  • - North America 44
  • - West Europe 44
  • - Northeast Asia 45
  • Styrene-Butadiene Rubber 47
  • - North America 47
  • - West Europe 47
  • - Northeast Asia 48
  • Price Forecast Tables 50
  • Supply/Demand Forecast Methodology 52

Market Coverage

Automotives

Latex

Medical

Tires

Bill Hyde

Bill Hyde Vice President, C4 Olefins and Elastomers Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Bill Hyde is the Vice President of Olefins & Elastomers at Chemical Market Analytics. Mr. Hyde is a member of Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS, A Dow Jones Company. He leads a group that analyzes markets related to C4 Olefins, synthetic and natural rubber, and tire raw materials. He has been consulting in this market since 2002. Hyde began his career with Union Carbide Corporation in 1990, holding positions in production engineering, optimization, planning, and logistics. In 2000, he joined Texas Petrochemicals as a Business Analyst. In 2002, Hyde joined CMAI, which was acquired by IHS in 2011, in the Olefins Consulting Practice, focusing on C4 Olefins and rubber, assuming responsibility for that practice in 2006. The Base Chemicals Group of HIS Markit, which includes the C4 Olefins and Elastomers Practice, was divested to News Corp in June 2022 and became Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS, A Dow Jones Company. He has published several papers on the Olefins and Elastomers industries and presented at numerous Olefins and Elastomers Conferences worldwide. Hyde has a BSc and an MSc in Chemical Engineering from Brigham Young University and an M.B.A. from Tulane University.
Anthony Song

Anthony Song Executive Director, Asia C4 & Elastomers Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Anthony Song is the Executive Director for APAC C4 & Elastomers at Chemical Market Analytics. Anthony (Young Ho) Song is the executive director for C4 olefins, derivatives, and natural rubber in Asia, excluding mainland China, at Chemical Market Analytics. He has over 20 years of experience in the petrochemical industry, primarily in olefins but also in chlor-alkali and aromatics. Within the Asia region, he works closely with the petrochemical, oil and financial industries, bringing support and guidance throughout the petrochemical chain. He is currently the service leader for the Asia C4 weekly report and contributes to the global outlook for C4 and elastomer reports. Anthony started his career as a petrochemical trader at Hanwha Corporation in Korea. His duties were to trade various gas products, including light and C4 olefin products, in Asia. He has spent about a year in Dubai as a regional expert in Hanwha Group's regional expert program, researching and developing future strategic programs across the Middle East, from product development to investment portfolios. In 2008, he came to Singapore as a trading team manager at Hanwha International (overseas office in Singapore). Anthony graduated from Boston University with a Bachelor of Arts in Economics.  
Remko Koster

Remko Koster Executive Director, EMEA C4 Olefins Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Remko Koster is the Executive Director for C4 olefins and derivatives in Europe, the Middle East and Africa at Chemical Market Analytics.. During his time with the company, he has taken various roles across a broad range of product areas. With over 20 years of experience, Remko is a key resource within the business for understanding and insight into the C4 and derivatives sector of the petrochemical industry. Within the EMEA region, he works closely with the petrochemical, oil and tire industries, bringing support and guidance throughout the petrochemical chain. His current area of focus includes oversight of the ‘Global Tire Type Indices Report’, primary input and insight for the ‘Global C4 Olefins & Elastomers Report’, as well as for the World Butadiene, MTBE, Rubber, and Butylenes analyses. His prior experience includes more than ten years of industrial experience with SABIC, including commercial responsibilities for C4 streams and aromatics and as a global market intelligence leader for polypropylene. Remko joined our company in 2011 as a polyethylene and polypropylene consultant for EMEA, contributing to the ‘Global Plastics & Polymers Report service’ and for World Polyethylene and Polypropylene Analysis. Remko Koster has a Ph.D. in Chemistry from the University of Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
William Chen, PhD

William Chen, PhD Vice President, Asia Olefins and Derivatives Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

William Chen is the Vice President of the Asia Olefins and Derivatives at Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS, a Dow Jones Company. Dr. William Chen is the Executive Director at Chemical Market Analytics. He leads Asia Olefins' business and has research responsibilities to provide insight into the dynamics of the ethylene, propylene, C4, and derivatives value chain markets. Provide thought leadership on the markets relating to supply, demand, price and economics, as well as competitive dynamics and changing industry structural elements. William also leads Asia Olefins' business for strategic growth and provides ongoing commercial management. Focus on nurturing client relationships and enhancing services to support clients’ commercial and strategic decision-making. Nurture relationships with clients, including SOEs, POEs and MNCs, to deepen services in clients’ commercial and strategic decision-making processes. William has been involved in many petrochemical consulting projects and client studies, including the China Coal Chemical Study, Global Propane Dehydrogenation Research, and Refinery-cracker/aromatic complex feasibility study. Before Chemical Market Analytics, William worked for ChemChina. William started as a chemical engineer at the company’s Lanzhou fiber plant in Northwest China. Then, he moved back to Beijing to focus on downstream application development. Over the last two years with ChemChina, William took on sales and marketing responsibility in NE Asia. William earned a Ph.D. from the Chinese Academy of Sciences, specializing in Polymer Chemistry and Physics. William is based in Beijing, China.

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