Chemical

World Analysis – Ethylene Oxide & Monoethylene Glycol

  • Market Overview
  • Key Benefits
  • Service Features
  • Annual Table of Contents

Market Overview

Duration: Long-term outlook to 2050

Ethylene oxide (EO) is a large-volume chemical primarily produced by the catalytic oxidation of ethylene. Ethylene oxide is a chemical intermediate that cannot be used as such and is further reacted to produce a wide spectrum of products. Monoethylene glycol (MEG) is the single-largest outlet for EO. MEG is widely used for the further production of polyester resins and fibers, and its demand has grown at a sustained rate over the last decade, prompting the need for more EO globally. Other dominant EO end uses include higher-value derivatives such as ethoxylates, ethanolamines, glycol ethers, and polyether polyols. Overall, demand for EO is broadly tied to the general economy and has been increasingly linked to emerging countries, where the improvement in living standards is driving an increasing usage of a wide range of polymers and chemicals that are consumed to produce packaging, films, textile fibers, soaps and detergents, and others.

MEG has traditionally been produced from EO, but new technologies have arisen over the last 10 years (coal-to-MEG, bio-based routes). Nearly all conventional MEG producers also operate an EO facility for upstream integration. The most competitive ethylene oxide/glycol producers are also back-integrated into ethylene production. Over the last decade, new MEG capacities have started up in cost-advantaged regions (Middle East, North America) or where demand has been rapidly increasing (Northeast Asia). In the Middle East and North America, the abundance of competitively priced ethane had provided a significant cost advantage for regional ethylene and ethylene derivative manufacturers, creating the foundation for the most cost-competitive MEG production in the world. In Northeast Asia—particularly in mainland China—the development of the textile industry, as well as the growing dominance of polyester fibers within the textile fibers mix, has driven the construction of large-scale MEG plants.

Key Benefits

Duration: Long-term outlook to 2050

The World Analysis – Ethylene Oxide & Monoethylene Glycol provides comprehensive analysis and key insights about critical market developments as they shape the future outlook of the global ethylene oxide (EO) and monoethylene glycol (MEG) markets.

The following reports, data files, analytical tools and visualization modules are available online and can be downloaded from our website:

  • Direct Access to the Subject Matter Experts
  • In-depth exploration of present market strategic insights, recognition of critical challenges, and presentation of our experts’ forecasts and analysis
  • Explanatory Notes detailing data sources, methodologies, unit and conversion factors, and World Analysis deliverables.
  • Energy and Economy assumptions
  • Price, cost, and margin base assumptions forecast and sensitivities analysis, including price assessment methodology and price definitions across all regions.
  • Excel data files with standard supply/demand graphics and price forecasts extended to 2050, trade grids with country and regional trade flows Data appendix (Excel) with supply/demand, capacity and trade tables.
  • An online dashboard visualization of capacity, supply/demand, trade grids, and price, cost and margin forecasts
  • Supply/demand and capacity database access via data browser
  • Data Appendix (Excel) with supply/demand and capacity tables
  • Capacity by company/shareholder, capacity integration, top producer/consumer and surplus/deficit capacity ranking, and ownership/subsidiary information

In addition to EO and MEG, capacity and textual analysis is provided for the following products:

  • Ethanolamines
  • Glycol ethers (E-series)

This World Analysis contains detailed information on capacities, production, demand, and trade for all significant producing and consuming countries and regions. Although data gathering is essential for understanding history and potential future trends, we believe that the interpretation and analysis of the data is the most valuable information to our clients.

Service Features

Duration: Long-term outlook to 2050


SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCES

Frequency: Bi-annual
Format: Excel
Timeframe: 10-year forecasts available from periods 1990 – 2050
Area Coverage: By country/region; include “hypothetical” capacity changes in the forecast period
Chemical Coverage: Ethylene Oxide, Monoethylene Glycol

CAPACITY DATABASE

Frequency: Updated daily
Format: Excel
Timeframe: 10-year forecasts available from periods 1990 – 2050
Coverage:

  • Nameplate capacity on individual plant location by producer and by the shareholder for main study products + essential derivatives
  • Integration table and top producer and consumer ranking tables (includes net surplus/deficit)
Chemical Coverage: Ethylene Oxide, Monoethylene Glycol, Diethylene Glycol, Ethanolamines, Ethoxylates, Glycol Ethers (E-Series), Ethylene Oxide, Monoethylene Glycol

PRICE & COST FORECASTS

Frequency: Quarterly
Format: Excel
Timeframe: up to 2050
Area Coverage: For the critical regions of North America (US), Europe & Asia
Chemical Coverage: Ethylene Oxide, Monoethylene Glycol

TRADE GRIDS

Frequency: Bi-annual
Format: Excel
Timeframe: 1 year of history, up to 10 years of forecast
Area Coverage: Between partner countries and by region
Chemical Coverage: Ethylene Oxide, Monoethylene Glycol, Ethanolamines, Glycol Ethers, Polyethylene Terephthalate

ADDITIONAL FEATURES

  • Access to our global team of subject matter experts
  • Interactive data visualization module (dashboard)
  • Standard supply/demand graphs
  • Data appendix with supply/demand and capacity tables
  • Supply/demand and capacity database access via data browser

Annual Table of Contents

  • Introduction 5
  • Executive Overview 6
  • Strategic insights 11
  • Enforcement of mainland China’s strict COVID-19 policy lowers demand for ethylene oxide derivatives, mainly monoethylene glycol 11
  • Ethylene oxide and monoethylene glycol cost competitiveness 12
  • Large mainland Chinese capacity additions extend the global paraxylene market downcycle 12
  • Integration in the polyester chain increasingly critical to long-term competitiveness 13
  • Sustainability and recycling in the polyester chain 14
  • North America 15
  • South America 20
  • West Europe 24
  • Central Europe 28
  • CIS & Baltic States 31
  • Africa 34
  • Middle East 37
  • Indian Subcontinent 40
  • Mainland China 44
  • Other Northeast Asia 49
  • Southeast Asia 54
  • Production Process Overview 58
  • Ethylene oxide 58
  • Monoethylene glycol 59
  • Biomass to EO and/or EG 60
  • Glycerin/corn starch to MEG 61
  • Coal to MEG 62
  • Production Process Economics 65
  • Explanatory Notes 65
  • United States 67
  • West Europe 68
  • Northeast Asia 69
  • China (Mainland) 70
  • Middle East 71
  • Derivative Market Overview 72
  • Ethanolamines 72
  • Process description and end uses 72
  • Market overview 73
  • Glycol Ethers 77
  • Process description and end uses 77
  • Market overview 78
  • Polyethylene Terephthalate 81
  • Process description 81
  • Polyethylene terephthalate 82
  • Price Forecast 83
  • Methodology 83
  • North America 85
  • Monoethylene glycol 85
  • Ethylene oxide 86
  • West Europe 87
  • Monoethylene glycol 87
  • Ethylene oxide 89
  • Northeast Asia 90
  • Monoethylene Glycol 90
  • Ethylene oxide 91
  • Price Forecast Tables 93
  • Supply/Demand forecast methodology 95

Market Coverage

Additives

Fiber

Film & Sheet

Resin

Alan Lu

Alan Lu Executive Director, China Aromatics & Fibers Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Alan Lu is an Executive Director for Aromatics & Fibers at Chemical Market Analytics. Mr. Lu joined Chemical Market Analytics through the legacy IHS Markit Base Chemical team in 2001, and he currently leads the China aromatics team with primary research coverage on EO/EG, BTX, and SM value chains. In 2012, Mr. Lu was a Director with the Chemicals Consulting Group based in Shanghai. Before joining Chemicals Consulting, he was involved in aromatics and fibers research in Asia, primarily responsible for PET Bottle Resin for Asia, Polyester Fiber, PTA, MEG, Phenol, and Acetone for China. Mr. Lu holds a Master's degree in business administration from the Shanghai University of Finance and Economics and a Bachelor's degree from Shanghai International Studies University.  
Prem Chitkara

Prem Chitkara Executive Director-Polyester Fibers and Glycols & EO Derivatives Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Prem serves as the Director for the Polyester and Glycols & EO business for the European, Middle-East, and African markets. Prem is responsible for polyester fibers, glycols & EO derivatives business for Chemical Market Analytics (CMA) at Dow Jones for the EMEA region. Prem has more than 28 years of rich and diverse industry experience in global manufacturing, technical, expansion projects, sales & marketing, and business development, supporting him in his current role. He holds a degree in textile engineering and has earned an MBA degree. He has also completed an Executive Management Development Program from IIM Bangalore in India and a Business Sustainability Management program from Cambridge University in the UK. Before joining CMA in 2017, Prem worked with Reliance Industries Limited for 23 years at different locations in India and Germany. He was based in Frankfurt from 2008 to 2017, where he was responsible for establishing Reliance’s Polyester business in the EMEA region.
Roberto Ribeiro

Roberto Ribeiro Executive Director, Global Ethylene Oxide | Ethylene Glycol Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Roberto Ribeiro is the Executive Director for EO & Derivatives in the Americas at Chemical Market Analytics. Roberto Ribeiro is a seasoned chemical and petrochemical expert with 30 years of experience. He is the Research & Analysis Director and global leader for Ethylene Oxide and Derivatives at Chemical Market Analytics and is responsible for market analysis, insights, price discovery, and forecasts for ethylene oxide, ethylene glycols (MEG, DEG, TEG), ethoxylates, glycol ethers (E-series), ethanolamines (MEA, DEA, TEA) and paraxylene. Also, he contributes to the market analysis for orthoxylene, PTA, PET, and PU feedstocks for North America. He joined Chemical Market Analytics and its predecessor (IHS Markit) in April 2021 from Asterisk Advisors, a petrochemical consulting company. During his time at Asterisk, he provides the full business and market-oriented assessment for the chemical and petrochemical value chain, based on deep insights into customer needs and developing a culture of performance and efficiency within its client. Previously, he was President of Townsend Solutions, a petrochemical-industry strategic consulting firm. Before joining Townsend Solutions, Roberto was in a series of Strategic Planning, Business Development, M&A, and Sales and Marketing leadership roles from petrochemical manufacturing companies, all now part of Braskem and LyondellBasell. Roberto holds a bachelor’s degree in Accounting and Finance and Business Administration from São Paulo University (Brazil). He also holds a master’s degree in Oil & Gas from Universidad Austral (Argentina) and has participated in a series of professional development courses with Harvard Business School, New York University’s Stern School of Business, and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). He has spoken at a long list of industry conferences spanning Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and North and South America.

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