- Market Overview
- Key Benefits
- Service Features
- Sample Table of Contents
Market Overview
Duration: Long-term outlook to 2060
The ethylene industry has trended in a cyclical manner that usually, but not always, coincides with the normal business cycles of regional and global economies. Periods of high industry profitability (generally driven by high utilization rates) tend to alternate with times of poor profitability (generally characterized by low utilization rates), amplified by subsequent periods of over- and underinvestment in new capacity. The ensuing cyclical downturn and low profitability tend to rein in capital spending, leading to an extended period of very slow capacity growth that generally coincides with rapid demand growth during the economic recovery phase. This situation, in turn, tends to create very tight market conditions.
Key Benefits
Duration: Long-term outlook to 2060
The World Analysis—Ethylene provides a comprehensive analysis and key insights into critical market developments as they shape the future outlook for the global ethylene market.
The following reports, data files, analytical tools and visualization modules are available online and can be downloaded from our website:
- Direct Access to the Subject Matter Experts
- In-depth exploration of present market strategic insights, recognition of key challenges, and presentation of our experts’ forecasts and analysis
- Explanatory Notes detailing data sources, methodologies, unit and conversion factors, and World Analysis deliverables.
- Energy and Economy assumptions
- Price, cost and margin-based assumptions forecast and sensitivity analysis, including price assessment methodology, including price definitions across all regions.
- Excel data files with standard supply/demand graphics and price forecasts extended to 2060, trade grids with country and regional trade flows
- Data appendix (Excel) with supply/demand, capacity and trade tables.
- An online dashboard visualization of capacity, supply/demand, trade grids, and price, cost and margin forecasts
- Supply/demand and capacity database access via data browser
- Data Appendix (Excel) with supply/demand and capacity tables
- Capacity by company/shareholder, capacity integration, top producer/consumer and surplus/deficit capacity ranking, and ownership/subsidiary information
In addition to the main product, ethylene, capacity data and brief textual analysis are provided for the following products:
- Acetaldehyde (ACH)
- Alpha Olefins (AOL)
- Ethanol (EOH)
- Ethyl Chloride (ECL)
- Ethylbenzene (EBZ)
- Ethylene Dichloride (EDC)
- Ethylene Oxide (EOX)
- Ethylene Propylene Rubber (EPR)
- High Density Polyethylene (HDPE)
- Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE)
- Linear Low Density Polyethylene (LLDE)
- Propionaldehyde (PRH)
- Vinyl Acetate (VAM)
This World Analysis contains detailed information on capacities, production, demand and trade for all significant producing and consuming countries, geographies and regions. Although data gathering is essential for understanding history and potential future trends, we believe that the interpretation and analysis of the data are the most valuable parts for our clients.
Verifying the data is critical to the quality of the analysis, and the input our teams get from direct participants in the global business is most important in arriving at realistic conclusions.
Service Features
Duration: Long-term outlook to 2060
SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCES
Frequency: Bi-annual
Format: Excel
Timeframe: Supply/Demand Forecast from 2000 through 2060 are available
Area Coverage: By country/region; include “hypothetical” capacity changes in the forecast period
Chemical Coverage: Ethylene
CAPACITY DATABASE
Frequency: Updated daily
Format: Excel
Timeframe: Supply/Demand Forecast from 2000 through 2060 are available
Coverage:
- Nameplate capacity on individual plant location by producer and by the shareholder for main study products + essential derivatives
- Integration table and top producer and consumer ranking tables (includes net surplus/deficit)
Chemical Coverage: Ethylene, Acetaldehyde, Alpha Olefins, Ethanol, Ethyl Chloride, Ethylbenzene, EDC, Ethylene Oxide, Ethylene Propylene Rubber (EPDM), HDPE, LDPE, LLDPE, Propionaldehyde, Vinyl Acetate
PRICE, MARGIN & COST FORECASTS
Frequency: Quarterly
Format: Excel
Timeframe: up to 2060
Area Coverage: For the key regions of North America (US), Europe & Asia
Chemical Coverage: Ethylene
TRADE GRIDS
Frequency: Bi-annual
Format: Excel
Timeframe: 1 year of history, up to 10 years of forecast
Area Coverage: Between partner countries and by region
Chemical Coverage: Ethylene
REPORT WITH STRATEGIC INSIGHTS AND EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW
Frequency: Annual
Format: PDF/HTML
Timeframe: 5-year history, forecast to 2060
Coverage: Regional market summaries
- Production economics/snapshots for selected regions/processes
- Production process/technology overview
Chemical Coverage: Ethylene
ADDITIONAL FEATURES
- Access to our global team of subject matter experts
- Interactive data visualization module (dashboard)
- Standard supply/demand graphs
- Data appendix with supply/demand and capacity tables
- Supply/demand and capacity database access via data browser
Sample Table of Contents
- Introduction 5
- Executive Overview 7
- Strategic Insights 11
- Economic Forecast Update 11
- Energy Transition 11
- Implications for Ethylene Feedstock Supply 11
- Crude Oil-to-Chemicals (COTC) 12
- Net Zero Emissions 14
- Steam crackers in mainland China 16
- Impact of the Ukraine Conflict 18
- European Green Deal and Fit for 55 19
- New US Laws that may impact petrochemical industry 21
- Plastic Circularity 22
- North America 24
- South America 27
- West Europe 30
- Central Europe 33
- CIS & Baltic States 36
- Africa 39
- Middle East 42
- Indian Subcontinent 45
- China (mainland) 48
- Other Northeast Asia 51
- Southeast Asia 54
- Production Process Overview 57
- Introduction 57
- Ethylene Production 57
- Ethylene Technologies and Licensing 58
- Alternative Ethylene Production Technologies 59
- MTO Process 59
- Fischer-Tropsch Process 61
- Refinery Off-Gas 61
- Production Economics 62
- Explanatory Notes 62
- United States 63
- Purity Ethane 63
- Propane 64
- Butane 65
- Light Naphtha 66
- West Europe 67
- Full Range Naphtha (High Severity) 67
- Propane 68
- Butane 69
- Southeast Asia 70
- Full Range Naphtha (Low Severity) 70
- Northeast Asia 71
- Full Range Naphtha (Low Severity) 71
- Propane 72
- Butane 73
- Coal-to-Olefins 74
- Methanol-to-Olefins 75
- Price Forecast 76
- Methodology 76
- North America 77
- West Europe 78
- Asia 79
- Ethylene Price Forecast Tables 81
- Supply/Demand Forecast Methodology 82
- Appendix 86
- Changing fortunes of the olefins industry in the CIS and Baltic States 86
- The renaissance of Middle East and Africa olefin projects 88
Market Coverage
Film & Sheet
Manufacturing
Packaging
Plastics
Related Products
Related Chemicals
- Alpha Olefins
- Butane
- Coal
- Ethane
- Ethanol (Fermentation)
- Ethanol (Synthetic)
- Ethylbenzene (EB)
- Ethylene
- Ethylene Dichloride (EDC)
- Ethylene Oxide (EO)
- Ethylene Propylene Rubber (EPDM)
- Gas Oil
- Methanol
- Naphtha
- Polyethylene Resins, High-Density (HDPE)
- Polyethylene Resins, Linear Low-Density (LLDPE)
- Polyethylene Resins, Low-Density (LDPE)
- Propane
- Vinyl Acetate Monomer (VAM)
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