Chemical

World Analysis - Oxo Alcohols

  • Market Overview
  • Key Benefits
  • Service Features
  • Annual Table of Contents

Market Overview

Duration: Long-term outlook to 2050

Although over 90 percent of plasticizer and solvent alcohols are derived via oxo technology, some are produced via ethylene oligomerization with a Ziegler catalyst (alpha alcohols). Plasticizer alcohol is an industry term for C6 to C13 alcohols that are primarily used as chemical intermediates for plasticizer manufacture. C3, C4 and C5 oxo alcohols are called solvent alcohols, recognizing that the largest historical area of use for these alcohols and their derivatives is as carriers/diluents for paints and other surface coatings. Normal butanol (NBO) is a C4 alcohol, while 2-ethylhexanol (2-EH) is a C8 alcohol. NBO remains an important intermediate used in the production of acrylate esters, butyl acetate, glycol ethers, plasticizers and solvents. 2-EH is also called a plasticizer alcohol. With a percentage share of about 70%, plasticizers are by far the largest end-use segment for 2-EH. They provide flexibility to normally rigid and brittle PVC, and are used in the manufacturing of consumer goods, such as toys, cling film, flooring, cable insulation, and medical tubing. The second largest 2-EH derivative, 2-ethylhexyl acrylate (2-EHA), is mainly used as a monomer to produce acrylic resins for latex paints, especially for exterior applications, and for pressure sensitive adhesives. Other end-uses of 2-EH include lube and oil additives (zinc di-2-ethylhexyl dithiophosphate), mining chemicals, surfactants, and diesel fuel cetane improvers such as 2-ethylhexyl nitrate (2-EHN).

The oxo process, originally developed in Germany in the late 1930s, is the principal synthetic route for production of C4 and C8 alcohols. 2-ethylhexanol, n-butanol and isobutanol are produced from butyraldehydes, which are generated via the oxo reaction of syngas with propylene. The Ziegler process has ethylene as a feedstock and involves chain growth, oxidation and hydrolysis to yield even numbered carbon linear alcohols (C6, C10). Minor quantities of plasticizer alcohols are obtained from natural products and other processes. Isobutanol and n-butanol can also be produced by fermentation processes, also known as bio-based butanols.

Key Benefits

Duration: Long-term outlook to 2050

The World Analysis – Oxo-Alcohols provides a comprehensive analysis and key insights of critical market developments as they shape the future outlook for the global 2-ethylhexanol and n-butanol markets.

The following reports, data files, analytical tools and visualization modules are available online and can be downloaded from our website:

  • Direct Access to the Subject Matter Experts
  • In-depth exploration of present market strategic insights, recognition of critical challenges, and presentation of our experts’ forecasts and analysis
  • Explanatory Notes detailing data sources, methodologies, unit and conversion factors, and World Analysis deliverables.
  • Energy and Economy assumptions
  • Price, cost, and margin base assumptions forecast and sensitivities analysis, including price assessment methodology and price definitions across all regions.
  • Excel data files with standard supply/demand graphics and price forecasts extended to 2050, trade grids with country and regional trade flows Data appendix (Excel) with supply/demand, capacity and trade tables.
  • An online dashboard visualization of capacity, supply/demand, trade grids, and price, cost and margin forecasts
  • Supply/demand and capacity database access via data browser
  • Data Appendix (Excel) with supply/demand and capacity tables
  • Capacity by company/shareholder, capacity integration, top producer/consumer and surplus/deficit capacity ranking, and ownership/subsidiary information

In addition to the main products, 2-ethylhexanol and n-butanol, capacity data and brief textual analysis are provided for the following product:

  • Isobutanol

This World Analysis contains detailed information on capacities, production, demand, and trade for all significant producing and consuming countries and regions. Although data gathering is essential for understanding history and potential future trends, we believe that the interpretation and analysis of the data is the most valuable information to our clients.

Service Features

Duration: Long-term outlook to 2050


SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCES

Frequency: Bi-annual
Format: Excel
Timeframe: 10-year forecasts available from periods 1990 – 2050
Area Coverage: By country/region; include “hypothetical” capacity changes in the forecast period
Chemical Coverage: Cyclohexane (CHX), Caprolactam (CPL), Adipic Acid, HMDA, Nylon Polymerization

CAPACITY DATABASE

Frequency: Updated daily
Format: Excel
Timeframe: 10-year forecasts available from periods 1990 – 2050
Coverage:

  • Nameplate capacity on individual plant location by producer and by the shareholder for main study products + essential derivatives
  • Integration table and top producer and consumer ranking tables (includes net surplus/deficit)
Chemical Coverage: Cyclohexane, Cyclohexanol/one, Caprolactam, Adipic Acid, HMDA, Adponitrile, Nylon 6 & 6,6 Chip/Resin, Polybutylene Adipate Terephthalate (PBAT)

PRICE & COST FORECASTS

Frequency: Quarterly
Format: Excel
Timeframe: up to 2050
Area Coverage: For the critical regions of North America (US), Europe & Asia
Chemical Coverage: Cyclohexane, Caprolactam, Adipic Acid

TRADE GRIDS

Frequency: Bi-annual
Format: Excel
Timeframe: 1 year of history, up to 10 years of forecast
Area Coverage: Between partner countries and by region
Chemical Coverage: Cyclohexane, Caprolactam, Adipic Acid, HMDA, Adiponitrile

REPORT WITH STRATEGIC INSIGHTS AND EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW

Frequency: Annual
Format: PDF/HTML
Timeframe: 5-year history, forecast to 2050
Coverage: Regional market summaries

  • Production economics/snapshots for selected regions/processes
  • Production process/technology overview
Chemical Coverage: Cyclohexane (CHX), Caprolactam (CPL), Adipic Acid, Adiponitrile HMDA

ADDITIONAL FEATURES

  • Access to our global team of subject matter experts
  • Interactive data visualization module (dashboard)
  • Standard supply/demand graphs
  • Data appendix with supply/demand and capacity tables
  • Supply/demand and capacity database access via data browser

Annual Table of Contents

  • Introduction 4
  • Executive Overview 5
  • n-Butanol 5
  • 2-Ethylhexanol 8
  • Strategic Insights 11
  • Economic Forecast Update 11
  • Higher energy prices and cost competitiveness 12
  • Oxo-alcohol capacity developments and outlook – Mainland China and India 13
  • Asian plasticizer market developments and impact on 2-EH demand 14
  • Bio-based butanol and isobutanol 15
  • Production Process Overview 16
  • Introduction 16
  • Oxo Process 16
  • Bio-based Butanol 17
  • Price Forecast 18
  • Methodology 18
  • Price Forecast Tables and Graphs 19
  • Supply/Demand Forecast Methodology 22

Market Coverage

Fuel

Paint & Coating

Plasticizer

Solvent

Joyce Jahyung Lee

Joyce Jahyung Lee Associate Director, APAC Acrylic Acid, Acrylates, SAP, MMA, Oxo Alcohols, Plasticizers Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Joyce Jahyung Lee is the Associate Director at Asia Olefin Team at Chemical Market Analytics Singapore. She is responsible for propylene derivatives products under Global Oxos & Acrylates services – Acrylic Acid, Acrylate, SAP, Oxo Alcohols, and Plasticizers in Asia(ex-China). Prior to joining Chemical Market Analytics in 2021, she had worked at Hanwha Solutions for over 11 years, covering many roles in commercial, procurement, planning & business development in petrochemical products. She also has extensive experience in research and analysis on international trade.
Julian Gunther

Julian Gunther Principal Analyst - Olefin Derivatives - Americas Acrylic Acid, Acrylates, SAP, MMA, Oxo Alcohols, Plasticizers Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Julian Gunther is a Principal Analyst on the Global Olefins team at Chemical Market Analytics's Houston, Texas, office. He is responsible for the propylene derivatives market, including acrylic acid, acrylates, methyl methacrylate (MMA), super absorbent polymers (SAP), oxo alcohols, and the plasticizers market in the Americas. He previously worked with Chemical Market Analytics's offshore rig team from 2006-2012. In addition to Chemical Market Analytics, Mr. Gunther also worked at S&P Global Platts and OptaSense in account manager roles. He speaks Portuguese and Spanish with native fluency and holds a Bachelor's degree from the University of Houston, in Houston, Texas.  
Martin Staley

Martin Staley Executive Director, EMEA Acrylic Acid, Acrylates, SAP, MMA, Oxo Alcohols, Plasticizers Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Martin Staley serves as the Executive Director for the Acrylic Acid and OXO Alcohol value chains which includes the acrylate esters, butyl acrylate, 2-EH Acrylate, Methyl Acrylate, and Ethyl Acrylate Martin joined the IHS Markit base chemicals business (now known as Chemical Market Analytics) in March 2022. The related chemical, Methyl Methacrylate (MMA) is also under Martin’s purview as well as the downstream OXO plasticizer derivatives. These chemicals are covered in the Market Advisory Service reports, published monthly and the World Analysis reports, published annually. Martin has over 30 years of chemical industry experience having recently served as the Regional Vice President for Third Coast International for 14 years. Third Coast is a leading chemical service provider with operations in the Houston area with historic joint ventures in Singapore and Qatar. The company is a leading automotive brake fluid producer, marketer of propylene glycol, and a leading contract manufacturing company. Before Third Coast, Martin spent 17 years in a variety of roles with LyondellBasell with a focus on the Propylene Oxide and derivatives business including PO-based glycol ethers, glycols, 1,4-Butanediol and derivatives, and C4 specialties. He also held the Chair of the Glycol Ether sector for the Oxygenated Solvent Producers Association an industry trade body under C.E.F.I.C. helping prepare the industry for the introduction of REACH. Martin started his chemical industry career in the United Kingdom with what is now Univar. Martin holds a BSc. Hons. Degree in Biology with subsidiary subjects of Biochemistry and Biotechnology from Portsmouth University.

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