World Analysis – Soda Ash

  • Market Overview
  • Key Benefits
  • Service Features
  • Annual Table of Contents

Market Overview

Duration: Long-term outlook to 2050

Sodium carbonate, more commonly known as soda ash, is an inorganic chemical that is used in glass manufacturing, cleaning agents, water treatment, steel production, textiles, pulp and paper production, food additives, renewable energy applications, batteries, and more. Lithium carbonate is still a minor global application of soda ash but is projected as one of the fastest growing soda ash demand segments driven primarily by the demand for electric vehicles (EVs) and energy storage. Solar glass, a type of flat glass used in solar photovoltaic (PV) panels, is another rapidly growing soda ash demand sector. Flat glass is the largest glass segment where it is used for residential and commercial buildings, automobiles, and more. Container glass is the second largest segment, which is used for consumer products like food and beverage containers. Other end-use glass applications include tableware, lighting, display screens, mirrors, fiber optics, and insulation fiberglass. 

Most of the world’s soda ash is produced synthetically via the Solvay-Ammonia process or the Hou process. However, natural soda ash production is expected to grow with new projects in mainland China, Turkey, and the US. Synthetic material is more expensive to produce compared to natural soda ash production from trona or other mineral deposits. Synthetic soda ash production is normally located near the raw material feedstocks such as salt, limestone, and (historically) coal deposits. As salt and limestone deposits are more globally abundant than trona (ore), synthetic soda ash plants are more widespread and thus closer to many end-use industries. Sources of natural soda ash tend to occur in underground beds or in dry lakes. The US has the world’s largest production capacity for natural soda ash, with major deposits of trona in Wyoming and further production from Searles Lake in California. Turkey is the second-largest source of natural soda ash production. In addition, natural soda ash is exploited in the African rift valley, in Kenya, Botswana, and Ethiopia (from soda lake beds); artisan-level output occurs in other countries, such as Chad. Natural soda ash exists and is exploited in China, mainly in Henan and Inner Mongolia. The US, mainland China, and Turkey are important countries in the global soda ash industry due to their influence on the seaborne market.

Key Benefits

Duration: Long-term outlook to 2050


  • Maximize negotiating leverage with forward-looking country-specific supply-demand data.
  • Develop a winning strategy based on growth projections of market segments worldwide.
  • Gain clarity evaluating investment opportunities and analyzing market leadership out to 2050.
  • Mitigate risk with data about emerging international trade flows.

Data Included

The World Analysis – Soda Ash provides a comprehensive analysis and key insights into critical market developments as they shape the future outlook for the global Soda Ash market.

The following reports, data files, analytical tools and visualization modules are available online and can be downloaded from our website:

  • Report outlining key strategic insights and the future shape of global and regional markets.
  • Data Appendix (Excel) with supply/ demand and capacity table
  • Explanatory Notes detailing data sources, methodologies, unit and conversion factors, and World Analysis deliverables.
  • Energy and Economy assumptions
  • Price, cost and margin base assumptions forecast and sensitivities analysis, and price assessment methodology.
  • Excel data files with standard supply/demand graphics and price forecasts extended to 2050; trade grids with country and region trade flows.
  • Online dashboard providing visualization of capacity, supply/demand, trade grids, and price, cost and margin forecasts.
  • Supply/demand and capacity database access via data browser
  • Capacity by company/shareholder, capacity integration, top producer/consumer and surplus/deficit capacity ranking

In addition to the main product, Soda Ash, capacity and textual analysis is provided for the following products:

  • Container Glass
  • Flat Glass
  • Other Glass
  • Sodium Silicates
  • Sodium Dichromates
  • Sodium Tripolyphosphate (STPP)

This World Analysis contains detailed information on capacities, production, demand and trade for all significant producing and consuming countries and regions. Although data gathering is essential for the understanding of history and potential future trends, we believe that the interpretation and analysis of the data is the most valuable part for our clients.

Service Features

Duration: Long-term outlook to 2050


Frequency: Bi-annual
Format: Excel
Timeframe: 10-year forecasts available from periods 1990 – 2050 Area Coverage:By country/region; include “hypothetical” capacity changes in the forecast period
Chemical Coverage: Soda Ash


Frequency: Updated daily
Format: Excel
Timeframe: 10-year forecasts available from periods 1990 – 2050

  • Nameplate capacity on individual plant location by producer and by the shareholder for main study products + key derivatives
  • Integration table and top producer and consumer ranking tables (includes net surplus/deficit)
Chemical Coverage: Soda Ash, Container Glass, Flat Glass, Other Glass, Sodium Silicates, Sodium


Frequency: Quarterly
Format: Excel
Timeframe: up to 2050
Area Coverage: Forecasts for US, Europe & Asia w/ qualitative sensitivities
Chemical Coverage: Soda Ash Tripolyphosphate (STPP)


Frequency: Updated daily
Format: Excel
Timeframe: 10-year forecasts available from periods 1990 – 2050
Chemical Coverage: Polyester (Polyester Polycondensation)


Frequency: Bi-annual
Format: Excel
Timeframe: 1 year of history, up to 10 years of forecast
Area Coverage: Between partner countries and by region
Chemical Coverage: Soda Ash


Frequency: Annual
Format: PDF/HTML
Timeframe: 5-year history, forecast to 2050
Coverage: Regional market summaries

  • Production economics/snapshots for selected regions/processes
  • Production process/technology overview
Chemical Coverage: Soda Ash


  • Access to our global team of subject matter experts
  • Interactive data visualization module (dashboard)
  • Standard supply/demand graphs
  • Data appendix with supply/demand and capacity tables
  • Supply/demand and capacity database access via data browser

Annual Table of Contents

  • Introduction 5
  • Executive Overview 7
  • Background 7
  • Supply 7
  • Demand 8
  • Strategic Insights 12
  • European Glass 12
  • Soda Ash in Lithium Production 13
  • Solar Energy Supply Chains 14
  • North America 16
  • South America 20
  • West Europe 24
  • Central Europe 29
  • CIS & Baltic States 32
  • Africa 36
  • Middle East 39
  • Indian Subcontinent 42
  • Mainland China 46
  • Other Northeast Asia 49
  • Southeast Asia 52
  • Production Process Overview 55
  • Introduction 55
  • Natural Soda Ash 55
  • Synthetic Soda Ash 56
  • Introduction 56
  • Solvay 57
  • Hou 58
  • Other 59
  • Major Soda Ash Applications 59
  • Production Process Economics 61
  • Explanatory Notes 61
  • US Economics (From Trona - Coal as Fuel) 62
  • US Economics (From Trona - Natural Gas as Fuel) 63
  • West Europe Economics (Synthetic Solvay Process) 64
  • China Economics (Synthetic Solvay Process) 65
  • China Economics (Synthetic HOU Process) 66
  • Derivative Market Overview 67
  • Glass 67
  • Production Process Overview 67
  • Market Overview 68
  • STPP and Soaps/Detergents 70
  • Chemicals 72
  • Introduction 72
  • Sodium Silicates 72
  • Sodium Phosphates and Sodium Tripolyphosphate (STPP) 73
  • Sodium Bicarbonate 73
  • Sodium Chromates and Sodium Dichromates 75
  • Alumina and Metals/Mining 75
  • Pulp and Paper 76
  • Other 76
  • Sodium Percarbonate 76
  • Monosodium Glutamate 77
  • Lithium Carbonate 77
  • Other Chemicals 78
  • Causticization 78
  • Other End Uses 79
  • Price Forecast 80
  • Methodology 80
  • North America 81
  • West Europe 82
  • Mainland China 83
  • Price Forecast Tables 85
  • Supply/Demand Forecast Methodology 86
  • Chemical Supply/Demand Forecasting Methodology 86
  • Supply 86
  • Demand 87
  • Hypothetical Capacity 87
  • Trade 88

Market Coverage

Flat Glass

Glass Container

Metal & Mining

Solar Glass

Hasan Copur

Hasan Copur Associate Director, Global Soda Ash Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Hasan is the Associate Director of the Soda Ash team at Chemical Market Analytics. Hasan is an associate director within the inorganics team and has expertise in the global Soda Ash Market Advisory Service. Over 15 years in commercial roles, Hasan has acquired international chemical industry experience while holding various sales and business management roles. He engaged in diverse sectors using inorganic chemicals as raw materials and helped develop a portfolio of global clients. During his time with the company, he has provided soda ash market coverage for each region of the world, offering insight and intelligence across the soda ash value chain, emphasizing Europe and the Indian subcontinent. Hasan spent over ten years with Sisecam, a global glass and soda ash manufacturer, managing international sales activities for their chemicals group in its multiple locations. He spent four years in China, leading the regional business. Before joining in 2021, he spent three years working in trading in the UK, overseeing a range of basic chemicals and metals in the international markets. Hasan holds a Bachelor’s in Economics from Istanbul University and an MBA from Yeditepe University. He joined the company in 2021 and resides in London, UK.
Marguerite Morrin

Marguerite Morrin Executive Director, Global Soda Ash Service Lead Chemical Market Analytics

Marguerite Morrin is the Executive Director of Global Soda Ash Service Lead at Chemical Market Analytics. Marguerite Morrin is the Executive Director of Soda Ash research at Chemical Market Analytics (CMA). Marguerite launched the Global Soda Ash Market Advisory Service (MAS) in 2008. Before launching the soda ash MAS, she held various responsibilities in the Inorganics value chain, including European chlor-alkali and vinyls market coverage, where she helped develop MAS. Marguerite’s area of focus is the Soda Ash Market Advisory Service. With over 30 years of research experience in the chemicals sector, Marguerite is a key CMA resource with respect to analysis and insights about soda ash markets. She works with the global soda ash team to understand and keep track of soda ash market developments and provide CMA clients with insight and critical analytics that facilitate decisions. Marguerite also organizes the CMA annual World Soda Ash Conference. Marguerite holds a Bachelor’s degree in Chemistry from University College Dublin, Ireland and a postgraduate diploma in Business Studies from UCD Smurfit Business School, Dublin. She is currently based out of the London office.  
Rock Bain

Rock Bain Associate Director, China Soda Ash Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Rock Bian is the Associate Director of the China Soda Ash Research and Analysis at Chemical Market Analytics. With over 20 years of experience, Rock is an essential resource within the business for understanding and insights into the soda ash sector of the inorganic chemical industry. Rock works closely with the soda ash industry in China, providing support and guidance throughout the product chain. His focus includes oversight of the mainland Chinese section of soda ash reports and primary input and insight for the world soda ash analyses. Rock has over 20 years of experience in chemical industries. He started his career as an engineer and project manager for a leading chemical engineering design institute in China. He supported and handled various engineering, design and construction projects in China and Tanzania. Rock also has extensive experience in soda ash and hydrogen peroxide with Solvay and FMC (now Genesis) and successfully led the development of a greenfield hydrogen peroxide plant. Before joining Chemical Market Analytics, Rock had a role in strategic planning and business development for Sinochem International, where he led market research for new business opportunities and planned the subsequent relevant venture developments. Rock holds a Bachelor of Chemical Engineering degree from Zhengzhou Engineering College and a Master of Business Administration from Nanjing University.

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