Nations have been forced to reassess their energy strategies amid a more polarized geopolitical climate. Tight energy supplies create an impetus to adopt renewables, while the need for energy security forces the use of carbon-based and nuclear power. Gain insights on energy scenarios and the implications to chemical markets.
Major Chemical markets are in a downcycle with an oversupply trough in 2023-2024 while facing a new world reality of disruptive forces. Winners and losers will be determined by how participants address climate emissions, plastics waste, and deglobalization of markets while managing through the fundamentals of these commodity chemical markets. Alternate pathways and potential outcomes will be highlighted as the future is influenced by path dependency but determined by interventions made along the journey.
Unprecedented olefin capacity additions have led to global oversupply, particularly in Asia. While low-cost producers are expected to be in a better position to handle trough market conditions, all regions are expected to see depressed margins for an extended period of time. The key questions will be how long the downcycle will last in each ethylene and propylene market, how the market will react during the duration of the downcycle, and how the market will restructure.
In the complex world of Aromatics, several key factors have impacted the growth, margins, and investment interest in the chain. High gasoline margins, large and unchecked capacity additions, freight rates, trade barriers, increasing focus on sustainability, and several other developments are pulling the products and markets in different directions and market players are at a loss in making the right decisions for their short-term and long-term business plans. We try to facilitate this decision-making process by summarising the key impact points on major aromatics products and their expected trends over the short to medium term.
The plastics ecosystem is firmly on a transition where companies design out waste, keep resources in use as long as possible, extract the maximum value while in use, then recover and regenerate valuable products and materials at the end of life. Moreover, this transition is taking place within the broader structural shifts of energy transition as fuels demand peaks, raising the plastics demand risk profile and bringing forward challenges to balance emissions with circular plastics end-of-life goals.
The plastics transition to circularity raises critical questions that must be addressed through common goals and standards, with supporting data to determine the best path forward.
This presentation will discuss all of these aspects and will provide a deep dive into the present scenario and the directions for the future in the form of disruptive truths.
Senior Vice President, Global Head of Chemical Market Analytics
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Read BioVice President, Asia Aromatics | Global Polyurethane Feedstocks | Polyester Fibers & Feedstocks | Polyester Stream
Read BioDirector, APAC Ethylene & Propylene
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